AA

AA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($64.08)
DCF$82.83+29.3%
Graham Number$48.09-25.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 2.3%
DDM$8.24-87.1%
EV/EBITDA$65.58+2.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.19B
Rev: -1.1% / EPS: 6.4%
Computed: 12.79%
Computed WACC: 12.79%
Cost of equity (Re)14.08%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.78 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.34%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.76%
Debt weight (D/V)14.24%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$49.89
Current Price$64.08
Upside / Downside-22.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.16B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.6%2.4%6.4%10.4%14.4%
7.0%$84.27$102.06$122.72$146.59$174.05
8.0%$68.27$82.56$99.14$118.26$140.24
9.0%$57.19$69.07$82.83$98.68$116.88
10.0%$49.07$59.18$70.88$84.35$99.79
11.0%$42.85$51.63$61.76$73.42$86.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.42
Yahoo: $23.25

Results

Graham Number$48.09
Current Price$64.08
Margin of Safety-25.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.79%
Computed WACC: 12.79%
Cost of equity (Re)14.08%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.78 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.34%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.76%
Debt weight (D/V)14.24%

Results

Current Price$64.08
Implied Near-term FCF Growth10.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-1.1%
Historical Earnings Growth6.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.19B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$8.24
Current Price$64.08
Upside / Downside-87.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.94B
Current: 9.3×
Default: $1.16B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$65.58
Current Price$64.08
Upside / Downside+2.3%
Implied EV$18.14B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.16B$1.16B$1.16B$1.16B$1.16B
5.3x$35.57$35.57$35.57$35.57$35.57
7.3x$50.57$50.57$50.57$50.57$50.57
9.3x$65.58$65.58$65.58$65.58$65.58
11.3x$80.59$80.59$80.59$80.59$80.59
13.3x$95.59$95.59$95.59$95.59$95.59