AAMI

AAMI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($53.78)
DCF$55.19+2.6%
Graham Number$9.19-82.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.6%
DDM$8.24-84.7%
EV/EBITDA$55.63+3.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $121.38M
Rev: 2.6% / EPS: -14.8%
Computed: 10.11%
Computed WACC: 10.11%
Cost of equity (Re)11.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.30 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.05%
Debt weight (D/V)11.95%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$46.38
Current Price$53.78
Upside / Downside-13.8%
Net Debt (used)$160.20M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$55.70$67.87$82.03$98.42$117.29
8.0%$44.99$54.79$66.17$79.32$94.45
9.0%$37.57$45.73$55.19$66.11$78.66
10.0%$32.12$39.08$47.14$56.43$67.09
11.0%$27.95$34.00$40.99$49.04$58.27

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.21
Yahoo: $1.70

Results

Graham Number$9.19
Current Price$53.78
Margin of Safety-82.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.11%
Computed WACC: 10.11%
Cost of equity (Re)11.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.30 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.05%
Debt weight (D/V)11.95%

Results

Current Price$53.78
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.4%
Historical Revenue Growth2.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-14.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$121.38M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$8.24
Current Price$53.78
Upside / Downside-84.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $147.70M
Current: 14.5×
Default: $160.20M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.63
Current Price$53.78
Upside / Downside+3.4%
Implied EV$2.15B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.84B-$839.80M$160.20M$1.16B$2.16B
10.5x$95.09$67.08$39.08$11.08$-16.93
12.5x$103.36$75.36$47.35$19.35$-8.66
14.5x$111.63$83.63$55.63$27.62$-0.38
16.5x$119.91$91.90$63.90$35.89$7.89
18.5x$128.18$100.17$72.17$44.17$16.16