AARD

AARD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($5.47)
DCF$-14.77-370.0%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$25.48M
Rev: — / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-14.77
Current Price$5.47
Upside / Downside-370.0%
Net Debt (used)-$125.81M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-14.94$-19.13$-24.01$-29.65$-36.15
8.0%$-11.26$-14.63$-18.55$-23.07$-28.28
9.0%$-8.70$-11.51$-14.77$-18.53$-22.85
10.0%$-6.83$-9.22$-12.00$-15.19$-18.87
11.0%$-5.39$-7.47$-9.88$-12.65$-15.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-2.53
Yahoo: $5.63

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$5.47
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$5.47
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$25.48M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$5.47
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$53.44M
Current: 0.1×
Default: -$125.81M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.47
Current Price$5.47
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV-$6.68M