AAT

AAT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.66)
DCF$21.11+7.4%
Graham Number$19.70+0.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.5%
DDM$28.02+42.5%
EV/EBITDA$18.69-4.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $163.54M
Rev: -2.9% / EPS: -65.1%
Computed: 4.51%
Computed WACC: 4.51%
Cost of equity (Re)9.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.19%
Debt weight (D/V)52.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$126.92
Current Price$19.66
Upside / Downside+545.6%
Net Debt (used)$1.58B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$21.52$31.05$42.15$55.00$69.79
8.0%$13.12$20.80$29.72$40.03$51.89
9.0%$7.31$13.70$21.11$29.67$39.51
10.0%$3.04$8.49$14.81$22.09$30.45
11.0%$-0.23$4.51$9.99$16.29$23.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.92
Yahoo: $18.75

Results

Graham Number$19.70
Current Price$19.66
Margin of Safety+0.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.51%
Computed WACC: 4.51%
Cost of equity (Re)9.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.19%
Debt weight (D/V)52.81%

Results

Current Price$19.66
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-12.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-65.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$163.54M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.36

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.02
Current Price$19.66
Upside / Downside+42.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $226.64M
Current: 12.0×
Default: $1.58B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$18.69
Current Price$19.66
Upside / Downside-4.9%
Implied EV$2.72B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.58B$1.58B$1.58B$1.58B$1.58B
8.0x$3.92$3.92$3.92$3.92$3.92
10.0x$11.31$11.31$11.31$11.31$11.31
12.0x$18.69$18.69$18.69$18.69$18.69
14.0x$26.07$26.07$26.07$26.07$26.07
16.0x$33.46$33.46$33.46$33.46$33.46