ABM

ABM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($44.71)
DCF$-10.70-123.9%
Graham Number$41.58-7.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 31.4%
DDM$23.90-46.6%
EV/EBITDA$45.92+2.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $53.55M
Rev: 5.4% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.90%
Computed WACC: 4.90%
Cost of equity (Re)8.06%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.68 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)60.74%
Debt weight (D/V)39.26%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$17.85
Current Price$44.71
Upside / Downside-60.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.59B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-2.6%1.4%5.4%9.4%13.4%
7.0%$-10.52$-7.17$-3.27$1.23$6.42
8.0%$-13.48$-10.79$-7.66$-4.05$0.11
9.0%$-15.54$-13.30$-10.70$-7.70$-4.25
10.0%$-17.05$-15.13$-12.92$-10.37$-7.44
11.0%$-18.20$-16.54$-14.62$-12.41$-9.88

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.59
Yahoo: $29.67

Results

Graham Number$41.58
Current Price$44.71
Margin of Safety-7.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.90%
Computed WACC: 4.90%
Cost of equity (Re)8.06%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.68 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)60.74%
Debt weight (D/V)39.26%

Results

Current Price$44.71
Implied Near-term FCF Growth12.6%
Historical Revenue Growth5.4%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$53.55M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.16

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$23.90
Current Price$44.71
Upside / Downside-46.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $428.00M
Current: 10.0×
Default: $1.59B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$45.92
Current Price$44.71
Upside / Downside+2.7%
Implied EV$4.28B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B
6.0x$16.70$16.70$16.70$16.70$16.70
8.0x$31.31$31.31$31.31$31.31$31.31
10.0x$45.92$45.92$45.92$45.92$45.92
12.0x$60.53$60.53$60.53$60.53$60.53
14.0x$75.13$75.13$75.13$75.13$75.13