ACA

ACA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($108.62)
DCF$16.72-84.6%
Graham Number$60.52-44.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 27.6%
DDM$4.12-96.2%
EV/EBITDA$108.52-0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $104.09M
Rev: 7.6% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.54%
Computed WACC: 7.54%
Cost of equity (Re)9.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.77%
Debt weight (D/V)22.23%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$29.80
Current Price$108.62
Upside / Downside-72.6%
Net Debt (used)$1.31B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-0.4%3.6%7.6%11.6%15.6%
7.0%$17.73$26.56$36.80$48.62$62.19
8.0%$9.64$16.72$24.92$34.38$45.23
9.0%$4.04$9.92$16.72$24.55$33.52
10.0%$-0.07$4.93$10.71$17.35$24.96
11.0%$-3.20$1.13$6.13$11.87$18.43

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.02
Yahoo: $53.91

Results

Graham Number$60.52
Current Price$108.62
Margin of Safety-44.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.54%
Computed WACC: 7.54%
Cost of equity (Re)9.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.98 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.77%
Debt weight (D/V)22.23%

Results

Current Price$108.62
Implied Near-term FCF Growth22.3%
Historical Revenue Growth7.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$104.09M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$108.62
Upside / Downside-96.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $564.90M
Current: 11.7×
Default: $1.31B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$108.52
Current Price$108.62
Upside / Downside-0.1%
Implied EV$6.63B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.31B$1.31B$1.31B$1.31B$1.31B
7.7x$62.45$62.45$62.45$62.45$62.45
9.7x$85.49$85.49$85.49$85.49$85.49
11.7x$108.52$108.52$108.52$108.52$108.52
13.7x$131.56$131.56$131.56$131.56$131.56
15.7x$154.60$154.60$154.60$154.60$154.60