ACFN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($22.46)
DCF	$10.53	-53.1%
Graham Number	$13.09	-41.7%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 19.3%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$21.09	-6.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $1.32M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -18.8% / EPS: -65.5%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 5.13%

Computed WACC: 5.13%

Cost of equity (Re)5.23%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.17 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.17%

Debt weight (D/V)1.83%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$24.35

Current Price$22.46

Upside / Downside+8.4%

Net Debt (used)-$3.12M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$10.61	$12.50	$14.70	$17.25	$20.18
8.0%	$8.94	$10.46	$12.23	$14.28	$16.63
9.0%	$7.79	$9.05	$10.53	$12.22	$14.18
10.0%	$6.94	$8.02	$9.27	$10.72	$12.38
11.0%	$6.29	$7.23	$8.32	$9.57	$11.00

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $2.66

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $2.86

Results

Graham Number$13.09

Current Price$22.46

Margin of Safety-41.7%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 5.13%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 5.13%

Cost of equity (Re)5.23%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.17 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.17%

Debt weight (D/V)1.83%

Results

Current Price$22.46

Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.7%

Historical Revenue Growth-18.8%

Historical Earnings Growth-65.5%

Base FCF (TTM)$1.32M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$22.46

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $2.67M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 18.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$3.12M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$21.09

Current Price$22.46

Upside / Downside-6.1%

Implied EV$49.71M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.00B	-$1.00B	-$3.12M	$996.88M	$2.00B
14.6x	$815.35	$416.09	$16.83	$-382.43	$-781.69
16.6x	$817.48	$418.22	$18.96	$-380.30	$-779.56
18.6x	$819.62	$420.36	$21.09	$-378.17	$-777.43
20.6x	$821.75	$422.49	$23.23	$-376.03	$-775.30
22.6x	$823.88	$424.62	$25.36	$-373.90	$-773.16

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