ACHC

ACHC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($23.44)
DCF$-104.14-544.3%
Graham Number$23.72+1.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$25.56+9.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$368.96M
Rev: 6.1% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.06%
Computed WACC: 4.06%
Cost of equity (Re)9.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.88 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)44.51%
Debt weight (D/V)55.49%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-351.80
Current Price$23.44
Upside / Downside-1600.9%
Net Debt (used)$2.51B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.9%2.1%6.1%10.1%14.1%
7.0%$-105.14$-120.68$-138.73$-159.60$-183.61
8.0%$-91.23$-103.72$-118.21$-134.94$-154.16
9.0%$-81.60$-91.99$-104.02$-117.89$-133.82
10.0%$-74.54$-83.39$-93.62$-105.41$-118.93
11.0%$-69.13$-76.81$-85.68$-95.89$-107.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.16
Yahoo: $21.55

Results

Graham Number$23.72
Current Price$23.44
Margin of Safety+1.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.06%
Computed WACC: 4.06%
Cost of equity (Re)9.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.88 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)44.51%
Debt weight (D/V)55.49%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$23.44
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth6.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$368.96M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$23.44
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $577.21M
Current: 8.4×
Default: $2.51B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$25.56
Current Price$23.44
Upside / Downside+9.0%
Implied EV$4.82B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$509.85M$1.51B$2.51B$3.51B$4.51B
4.4x$22.14$11.09$0.03$-11.03$-22.08
6.4x$34.91$23.85$12.79$1.74$-9.32
8.4x$47.67$36.62$25.56$14.50$3.45
10.4x$60.44$49.38$38.32$27.27$16.21
12.4x$73.20$62.14$51.09$40.03$28.97