ACHR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($7.12)
DCF	$-5.45	-176.6%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$316.54M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 21.02%

Computed WACC: 21.02%

Cost of equity (Re)21.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 3.10 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.33%

Debt weight (D/V)1.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.49

Current Price$7.12

Upside / Downside-107.0%

Net Debt (used)-$1.55B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-5.52	$-7.06	$-8.86	$-10.94	$-13.33
8.0%	$-4.16	$-5.40	$-6.85	$-8.52	$-10.44
9.0%	$-3.22	$-4.25	$-5.45	$-6.84	$-8.43
10.0%	$-2.53	$-3.41	$-4.43	$-5.61	$-6.97
11.0%	$-2.00	$-2.77	$-3.65	$-4.67	$-5.85

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1.17

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $2.54

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$7.12

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 21.02%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 21.02%

Cost of equity (Re)21.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 3.10 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.33%

Debt weight (D/V)1.67%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$7.12

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$316.54M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$7.12

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$601.60M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -5.1×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$1.55B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.32

Current Price$7.12

Upside / Downside-11.3%

Implied EV$3.09B

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