ACI

ACI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($17.70)
DCF$13.06-26.2%
Graham Number$12.99-26.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 6.8%
DDM$12.36-30.2%
EV/EBITDA$17.70+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.25B
Rev: 1.9% / EPS: -20.3%
Computed: 4.79%
Computed WACC: 4.79%
Cost of equity (Re)5.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.25 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.34%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)38.65%
Debt weight (D/V)61.35%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$92.52
Current Price$17.70
Upside / Downside+422.7%
Net Debt (used)$15.22B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$13.43$22.13$32.26$43.98$57.48
8.0%$5.77$12.77$20.91$30.32$41.15
9.0%$0.46$6.29$13.06$20.87$29.85
10.0%$-3.44$1.54$7.31$13.95$21.58
11.0%$-6.42$-2.10$2.91$8.66$15.26

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.54
Yahoo: $4.87

Results

Graham Number$12.99
Current Price$17.70
Margin of Safety-26.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.79%
Computed WACC: 4.79%
Cost of equity (Re)5.70%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.25 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.34%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)38.65%
Debt weight (D/V)61.35%

Results

Current Price$17.70
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-8.8%
Historical Revenue Growth1.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-20.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.25B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.60

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.36
Current Price$17.70
Upside / Downside-30.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.61B
Current: 6.7×
Default: $15.22B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$17.70
Current Price$17.70
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$24.32B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$7.22B$11.22B$15.22B$19.22B$23.22B
2.7x$5.18$-2.60$-10.39$-18.17$-25.95
4.7x$19.22$11.44$3.66$-4.13$-11.91
6.7x$33.27$25.48$17.70$9.92$2.13
8.7x$47.31$39.53$31.75$23.96$16.18
10.7x$61.36$53.57$45.79$38.01$30.22