AD

AD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($49.91)
DCF$-11384299716.51-22809656915.3%
Graham Number$35.75-28.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$80.77+61.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$523.75M
Rev: -93.8% / EPS: 787.2%
Computed: 4.04%
Computed WACC: 4.04%
Cost of equity (Re)4.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.61%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.23%
Debt weight (D/V)21.77%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-72139118049.02
Current Price$49.91
Upside / Downside-144538405327.4%
Net Debt (used)$1.09B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term779.2%783.2%787.2%791.2%795.2%
7.0%$-18470154582.55$-18894153045.07$-19325902605.39$-19765509054.23$-20213079140.58
8.0%$-13934296322.90$-14254170157.24$-14579891590.54$-14911540433.64$-15249197220.31
9.0%$-10880204839.58$-11129969311.99$-11384299716.51$-11643258371.16$-11906908158.45
10.0%$-8708107153.22$-8908009210.87$-9111565667.56$-9318826400.26$-9529841737.74
11.0%$-7101116904.46$-7264129087.92$-7430121287.95$-7599134177.23$-7771208796.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.94
Yahoo: $29.29

Results

Graham Number$35.75
Current Price$49.91
Margin of Safety-28.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.04%
Computed WACC: 4.04%
Cost of equity (Re)4.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)1.61%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)78.23%
Debt weight (D/V)21.77%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$49.91
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-93.8%
Historical Earnings Growth787.2%
Base FCF (TTM)-$523.75M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$49.91
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $841.88M
Current: 6.4×
Default: $1.09B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$80.77
Current Price$49.91
Upside / Downside+61.8%
Implied EV$5.40B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.09B$1.09B$1.09B$1.09B$1.09B
2.4x$17.68$17.68$17.68$17.68$17.68
4.4x$49.23$49.23$49.23$49.23$49.23
6.4x$80.77$80.77$80.77$80.77$80.77
8.4x$112.32$112.32$112.32$112.32$112.32
10.4x$143.87$143.87$143.87$143.87$143.87