ADAM

ADAM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($8.24)
DCF$-119.56-1551.0%
Graham Number$6.48-21.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM$17.72+115.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 18963.6% / EPS: —
Computed: 0.68%
Computed WACC: 0.68%
Cost of equity (Re)10.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)6.33%
Debt weight (D/V)93.67%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$8.24
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$10.80B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term18955.6%18959.6%18963.6%18967.6%18971.6%
7.0%$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56
8.0%$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56
9.0%$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56
10.0%$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56
11.0%$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56$-119.56

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.19
Yahoo: $9.82

Results

Graham Number$6.48
Current Price$8.24
Margin of Safety-21.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 0.68%
Computed WACC: 0.68%
Cost of equity (Re)10.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)6.33%
Debt weight (D/V)93.67%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$8.24
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth18963.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.86

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$17.72
Current Price$8.24
Upside / Downside+115.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $10.80B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-119.56
Current Price$8.24
Upside / Downside-1551.0%
Implied EV$0