ADC

ADC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($81.13)
DCF$111.05+36.9%
Graham Number$45.01-44.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.2%
DDM$64.68-20.3%
EV/EBITDA$82.46+1.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $433.69M
Rev: 18.5% / EPS: 14.0%
Computed: 5.30%
Computed WACC: 5.30%
Cost of equity (Re)7.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.51 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.62%
Debt weight (D/V)25.38%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$322.79
Current Price$81.13
Upside / Downside+297.9%
Net Debt (used)$3.30B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term10.5%14.5%18.5%22.5%26.5%
7.0%$122.58$150.23$181.91$218.05$259.12
8.0%$93.03$114.96$140.06$168.68$201.18
9.0%$72.70$90.70$111.28$134.74$161.35
10.0%$57.89$73.03$90.34$110.04$132.38
11.0%$46.64$59.62$74.45$91.31$110.42

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.77
Yahoo: $50.87

Results

Graham Number$45.01
Current Price$81.13
Margin of Safety-44.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.30%
Computed WACC: 5.30%
Cost of equity (Re)7.11%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.51 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)74.62%
Debt weight (D/V)25.38%

Results

Current Price$81.13
Implied Near-term FCF Growth0.3%
Historical Revenue Growth18.5%
Historical Earnings Growth14.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$433.69M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.14

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$64.68
Current Price$81.13
Upside / Downside-20.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $619.75M
Current: 21.3×
Default: $3.30B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$82.46
Current Price$81.13
Upside / Downside+1.6%
Implied EV$13.20B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.30B$2.30B$3.30B$4.30B$5.30B
17.3x$78.47$70.13$61.80$53.47$45.14
19.3x$88.79$80.46$72.13$63.80$55.47
21.3x$99.12$90.79$82.46$74.13$65.79
23.3x$109.45$101.11$92.78$84.45$76.12
25.3x$119.77$111.44$103.11$94.78$86.45