ADNT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($23.58)
DCF	$19.75	-16.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 6.5%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$28.20	+19.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $190.38M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 4.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.78%

Computed WACC: 8.78%

Cost of equity (Re)12.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.52 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)7.65%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)41.32%

Debt weight (D/V)58.68%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$21.26

Current Price$23.58

Upside / Downside-9.8%

Net Debt (used)$1.80B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$20.12	$28.82	$38.94	$50.66	$64.15
8.0%	$12.46	$19.46	$27.60	$37.00	$47.82
9.0%	$7.15	$12.99	$19.75	$27.56	$36.53
10.0%	$3.26	$8.23	$14.00	$20.64	$28.26
11.0%	$0.28	$4.60	$9.60	$15.35	$21.95

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-3.67

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $22.15

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$23.58

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.78%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.78%

Cost of equity (Re)12.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.52 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)7.65%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)41.32%

Debt weight (D/V)58.68%

Results

Current Price$23.58

Implied Near-term FCF Growth5.9%

Historical Revenue Growth4.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$190.38M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$23.58

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $762.00M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 5.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.80B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$28.20

Current Price$23.58

Upside / Downside+19.6%

Implied EV$4.00B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.80B	$1.80B	$1.80B	$1.80B	$1.80B
1.3x	$-10.71	$-10.71	$-10.71	$-10.71	$-10.71
3.3x	$8.75	$8.75	$8.75	$8.75	$8.75
5.3x	$28.20	$28.20	$28.20	$28.20	$28.20
7.3x	$47.65	$47.65	$47.65	$47.65	$47.65
9.3x	$67.11	$67.11	$67.11	$67.11	$67.11

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