AEBI

AEBI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($14.47)
DCF$-8.89-161.5%
Graham Number$5.77-60.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$2.06-85.8%
EV/EBITDA$14.42-0.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 79.6% / EPS: -85.3%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-8.89
Current Price$14.47
Upside / Downside-161.5%
Net Debt (used)$687.85M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term71.6%75.6%79.6%83.6%87.6%
7.0%$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89
8.0%$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89
9.0%$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89
10.0%$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89
11.0%$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89$-8.89

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.14
Yahoo: $10.55

Results

Graham Number$5.77
Current Price$14.47
Margin of Safety-60.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$14.47
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth79.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-85.3%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.10

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.06
Current Price$14.47
Upside / Downside-85.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $94.02M
Current: 19.2×
Default: $687.85M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.42
Current Price$14.47
Upside / Downside-0.4%
Implied EV$1.80B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.31B-$312.15M$687.85M$1.69B$2.69B
15.2x$35.41$22.48$9.56$-3.37$-16.30
17.2x$37.85$24.92$11.99$-0.94$-13.87
19.2x$40.28$27.35$14.42$1.49$-11.44
21.2x$42.71$29.78$16.85$3.92$-9.01
23.2x$45.14$32.21$19.28$6.35$-6.58