AEG

AEG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.04)
DCF$1.82-74.2%
Graham Number$10.91+55.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$9.68+37.5%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: — / EPS: -46.2%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1.82
Current Price$7.04
Upside / Downside-74.2%
Net Debt (used)-$2.73B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$1.82$1.82$1.82$1.82$1.82
8.0%$1.82$1.82$1.82$1.82$1.82
9.0%$1.82$1.82$1.82$1.82$1.82
10.0%$1.82$1.82$1.82$1.82$1.82
11.0%$1.82$1.82$1.82$1.82$1.82

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.92
Yahoo: $5.75

Results

Graham Number$10.91
Current Price$7.04
Margin of Safety+55.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$7.04
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth
Historical Earnings Growth-46.2%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.47

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$9.68
Current Price$7.04
Upside / Downside+37.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$2.73B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.82
Current Price$7.04
Upside / Downside-74.2%
Implied EV$0