AERO

AERO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($17.88)
DCF$38247.11+213810.0%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -7.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$167.19+835.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $686.88M
Rev: 0.1% / EPS: 137.7%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$38192.93
Current Price$17.88
Upside / Downside+213507.0%
Net Debt (used)$3.03B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term129.7%133.7%137.7%141.7%145.7%
7.0%$53284.49$58084.75$63224.88$68722.62$74596.31
8.0%$40706.44$44372.87$48298.82$52497.85$56983.97
9.0%$32190.24$35089.01$38192.93$41512.71$45059.40
10.0%$26096.42$28445.94$30961.69$33652.34$36526.87
11.0%$21558.32$23498.83$25576.60$27798.78$30172.79

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.41
Yahoo: $-4.34

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$17.88
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$17.88
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-7.9%
Historical Revenue Growth0.1%
Historical Earnings Growth137.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$686.88M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$17.88
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.58B
Current: 17.4×
Default: $3.03B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$167.19
Current Price$17.88
Upside / Downside+835.0%
Implied EV$27.42B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.03B$2.03B$3.03B$4.03B$5.03B
13.4x$137.66$130.81$123.95$117.10$110.24
15.4x$159.28$152.42$145.57$138.72$131.86
17.4x$180.89$174.04$167.19$160.33$153.48
19.4x$202.51$195.66$188.80$181.95$175.10
21.4x$224.13$217.27$210.42$203.57$196.71