AEVA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($13.93)
DCF	$-3485.00	-25126.9%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$76.10M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 108.5% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 14.42%

Computed WACC: 14.42%

Cost of equity (Re)16.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.16 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)89.10%

Debt weight (D/V)10.90%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1369.92

Current Price$13.93

Upside / Downside-9937.8%

Net Debt (used)-$19.50M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	100.5%	104.5%	108.5%	112.5%	116.5%
7.0%	$-4716.01	$-5204.44	$-5732.55	$-6302.72	$-6917.41
8.0%	$-3617.17	$-3991.56	$-4396.36	$-4833.38	$-5304.50
9.0%	$-2872.07	$-3169.14	$-3490.32	$-3837.06	$-4210.85
10.0%	$-2338.03	$-2579.69	$-2840.95	$-3122.99	$-3427.03
11.0%	$-1939.61	$-2139.93	$-2356.50	$-2590.28	$-2842.29

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-2.82

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.22

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$13.93

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 14.42%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 14.42%

Cost of equity (Re)16.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.16 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)89.10%

Debt weight (D/V)10.90%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$13.93

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth108.5%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$76.10M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$13.93

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$122.22M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -7.0×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$19.50M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.54

Current Price$13.93

Upside / Downside+4.4%

Implied EV$853.80M

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