AFB

AFB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.12)
DCF$-4.95-144.6%
Graham Number$5.74-48.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 54.3%
DDM$11.12+0.1%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.16M
Rev: 7.1% / EPS: 19.9%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-4.95
Current Price$11.12
Upside / Downside-144.5%
Net Debt (used)$231.81M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term11.9%15.9%19.9%23.9%27.9%
7.0%$-4.67$-4.05$-3.34$-2.54$-1.62
8.0%$-5.34$-4.85$-4.29$-3.66$-2.93
9.0%$-5.81$-5.41$-4.95$-4.42$-3.83
10.0%$-6.14$-5.81$-5.42$-4.98$-4.49
11.0%$-6.40$-6.11$-5.78$-5.41$-4.98

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.12
Yahoo: $12.20

Results

Graham Number$5.74
Current Price$11.12
Margin of Safety-48.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$11.12
Implied Near-term FCF Growth54.3%
Historical Revenue Growth7.1%
Historical Earnings Growth19.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.16M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.54

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.12
Current Price$11.12
Upside / Downside+0.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $231.81M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-8.06
Current Price$11.12
Upside / Downside-172.6%
Implied EV$0