AFYA

AFYA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.42)
DCF$517.92+3759.3%
Graham Number$18.90+40.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -10.3%
DDM$4.74-64.7%
EV/EBITDA$27.16+102.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $365.22M
Rev: 10.4% / EPS: 29.8%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$517.92
Current Price$13.42
Upside / Downside+3759.3%
Net Debt (used)$1.98B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term21.8%25.8%29.8%33.8%37.8%
7.0%$592.96$700.64$822.67$960.44$1115.44
8.0%$461.27$545.93$641.82$750.04$871.74
9.0%$371.01$439.91$517.92$605.90$704.81
10.0%$305.54$363.04$428.09$501.43$583.84
11.0%$256.07$304.95$360.23$422.52$492.49

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.56
Yahoo: $10.18

Results

Graham Number$18.90
Current Price$13.42
Margin of Safety+40.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$13.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-10.3%
Historical Revenue Growth10.4%
Historical Earnings Growth29.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$365.22M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.23

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.74
Current Price$13.42
Upside / Downside-64.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40B
Current: 2.3×
Default: $1.98B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$27.16
Current Price$13.42
Upside / Downside+102.4%
Implied EV$3.25B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.98B$1.98B$1.98B$1.98B$1.98B
-1.7x$-92.64$-92.64$-92.64$-92.64$-92.64
0.3x$-32.74$-32.74$-32.74$-32.74$-32.74
2.3x$27.16$27.16$27.16$27.16$27.16
4.3x$87.06$87.06$87.06$87.06$87.06
6.3x$146.96$146.96$146.96$146.96$146.96