AG

AG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($31.60)
DCF$23715.47+74949.0%
Graham Number$6.56-79.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.0%
DDM$0.41-98.7%
EV/EBITDA$32.85+3.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $503.16M
Rev: 169.2% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$23715.47
Current Price$31.60
Upside / Downside+74949.0%
Net Debt (used)-$665.08M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term161.2%165.2%169.2%173.2%177.2%
7.0%$33946.93$36625.45$39470.46$42489.62$45690.80
8.0%$25864.13$27904.54$30071.78$32371.65$34810.17
9.0%$20397.73$22006.61$23715.47$25528.91$27451.65
10.0%$16491.12$17791.60$19172.90$20638.71$22192.86
11.0%$13585.78$14656.92$15794.61$17001.91$18281.95

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.34
Yahoo: $5.62

Results

Graham Number$6.56
Current Price$31.60
Margin of Safety-79.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$31.60
Implied Near-term FCF Growth14.0%
Historical Revenue Growth169.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$503.16M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.02

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$0.41
Current Price$31.60
Upside / Downside-98.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $610.82M
Current: 25.4×
Default: -$665.08M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$32.85
Current Price$31.60
Upside / Downside+3.9%
Implied EV$15.53B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.67B-$1.67B-$665.08M$334.92M$1.33B
21.4x$31.95$29.92$27.89$25.86$23.83
23.4x$34.42$32.40$30.37$28.34$26.31
25.4x$36.90$34.87$32.85$30.82$28.79
27.4x$39.38$37.35$35.32$33.29$31.27
29.4x$41.86$39.83$37.80$35.77$33.74