AGAE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($0.30)
DCF	$-3.07	-1136.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$7.52M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -14.6% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 2.87%

Computed WACC: 2.87%

Cost of equity (Re)12.47%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.49 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.17%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)22.13%

Debt weight (D/V)77.87%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-61.81

Current Price$0.30

Upside / Downside-20995.7%

Net Debt (used)-$16.39M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-3.10	$-3.81	$-4.64	$-5.60	$-6.71
8.0%	$-2.47	$-3.04	$-3.71	$-4.48	$-5.37
9.0%	$-2.03	$-2.51	$-3.07	$-3.71	$-4.44
10.0%	$-1.71	$-2.12	$-2.59	$-3.14	$-3.76
11.0%	$-1.47	$-1.82	$-2.23	$-2.70	$-3.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.55

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.38

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$0.30

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 2.87%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 2.87%

Cost of equity (Re)12.47%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.49 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.17%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)22.13%

Debt weight (D/V)77.87%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$0.30

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-14.6%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$7.52M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$0.30

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$21.33M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -0.0×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$16.39M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.44

Current Price$0.30

Upside / Downside+47.3%

Implied EV$42,667.32

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