AGH

AGH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.40)
DCF$1.25-71.6%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$562,893
Rev: -22.9% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1.25
Current Price$4.40
Upside / Downside-71.6%
Net Debt (used)-$28.71M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$1.25$1.11$0.96$0.78$0.57
8.0%$1.36$1.26$1.13$0.99$0.82
9.0%$1.44$1.35$1.25$1.13$0.99
10.0%$1.50$1.43$1.34$1.24$1.12
11.0%$1.55$1.48$1.41$1.32$1.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.21
Yahoo: $2.31

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$4.40
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$4.40
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-22.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$562,893
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$4.40
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.03M
Current: -12.4×
Default: -$28.71M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.40
Current Price$4.40
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$37.54M