AGI

AGI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($55.33)
DCF$5122545.41+9258069.9%
Graham Number$22.63-59.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 24.9%
DDM$2.47-95.5%
EV/EBITDA$55.33-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $413.85M
Rev: 53.1% / EPS: 396.3%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$5126797.88
Current Price$55.33
Upside / Downside+9265755.6%
Net Debt (used)-$459.00M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term388.3%392.3%396.3%400.3%404.3%
7.0%$7981702.70$8314014.85$8657304.45$9011841.25$9377899.38
8.0%$6037463.78$6288827.77$6548495.16$6816670.00$7093559.64
9.0%$4726714.92$4923506.08$5126797.88$5336750.08$5553525.01
10.0%$3793214.26$3951139.30$4114281.09$4282767.83$4456729.78
11.0%$3101558.98$3230687.13$3364080.76$3501844.68$3644085.41

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.15
Yahoo: $10.59

Results

Graham Number$22.63
Current Price$55.33
Margin of Safety-59.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$55.33
Implied Near-term FCF Growth24.9%
Historical Revenue Growth53.1%
Historical Earnings Growth396.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$413.85M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.47
Current Price$55.33
Upside / Downside-95.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.28B
Current: 17.7×
Default: -$459.00M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.33
Current Price$55.33
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$22.77B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.46B-$1.46B-$459.00M$541.00M$1.54B
13.7x$47.86$45.48$43.10$40.71$38.33
15.7x$53.98$51.59$49.21$46.83$44.45
17.7x$60.09$57.71$55.33$52.95$50.57
19.7x$66.21$63.83$61.45$59.06$56.68
21.7x$72.33$69.94$67.56$65.18$62.80