AGM-PG

AGM-PG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($18.45)
DCF$-32258155520.00-174840951427.9%
Graham Number$167.00+805.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$25.13+36.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -5.8% / EPS: -19.7%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-32258155520.00
Current Price$18.45
Upside / Downside-174840951427.9%
Net Debt (used)$32.26B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00
8.0%$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00
9.0%$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00
10.0%$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00
11.0%$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00$-32258155520.00

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $11.11
Yahoo: $111.54

Results

Graham Number$167.00
Current Price$18.45
Margin of Safety+805.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$18.45
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-5.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-19.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.22

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$25.13
Current Price$18.45
Upside / Downside+36.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $32.26B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-32258155520.00
Current Price$18.45
Upside / Downside-174840951427.9%
Implied EV$0