AGM

AGM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($158.97)
DCF$-3458.99-2275.9%
Graham Number$204.17+28.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM$125.66-21.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -5.8% / EPS: -19.7%
Computed: 0.47%
Computed WACC: 0.47%
Cost of equity (Re)9.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.97 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)4.94%
Debt weight (D/V)95.06%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$158.97
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$32.26B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99
8.0%$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99
9.0%$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99
10.0%$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99
11.0%$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99$-3458.99

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $16.61
Yahoo: $111.54

Results

Graham Number$204.17
Current Price$158.97
Margin of Safety+28.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 0.47%
Computed WACC: 0.47%
Cost of equity (Re)9.61%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.97 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)4.94%
Debt weight (D/V)95.06%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$158.97
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-5.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-19.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.10

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$125.66
Current Price$158.97
Upside / Downside-21.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $32.26B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-3458.99
Current Price$158.97
Upside / Downside-2275.9%
Implied EV$0