AGRO

AGRO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($9.32)
DCF$-15.89-270.5%
Graham Number$8.42-9.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM$7.21-22.6%
EV/EBITDA$7.05-24.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$57.47M
Rev: -35.5% / EPS: -65.6%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-15.89
Current Price$9.32
Upside / Downside-270.5%
Net Debt (used)$1.24B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-15.96$-17.41$-19.10$-21.06$-23.32
8.0%$-14.68$-15.85$-17.21$-18.78$-20.59
9.0%$-13.79$-14.76$-15.89$-17.20$-18.70
10.0%$-13.14$-13.97$-14.93$-16.04$-17.32
11.0%$-12.64$-13.36$-14.20$-15.16$-16.26

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.23
Yahoo: $13.71

Results

Graham Number$8.42
Current Price$9.32
Margin of Safety-9.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$9.32
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-35.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-65.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$57.47M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.35

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$7.21
Current Price$9.32
Upside / Downside-22.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $285.86M
Current: 7.8×
Default: $1.24B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$7.05
Current Price$9.32
Upside / Downside-24.4%
Implied EV$2.24B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.24B$1.24B$1.24B$1.24B$1.24B
3.8x$-1.03$-1.03$-1.03$-1.03$-1.03
5.8x$3.01$3.01$3.01$3.01$3.01
7.8x$7.05$7.05$7.05$7.05$7.05
9.8x$11.09$11.09$11.09$11.09$11.09
11.8x$15.13$15.13$15.13$15.13$15.13