AGYS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($73.50)
DCF	$21247.47	+28808.1%
Graham Number	$16.40	-77.7%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 21.6%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$73.30	-0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $43.79M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 15.6% / EPS: 152.8%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 6.61%

Computed WACC: 6.61%

Cost of equity (Re)6.62%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.42 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)6.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.03%

Debt weight (D/V)0.97%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$39693.69

Current Price$73.50

Upside / Downside+53905.0%

Net Debt (used)-$61.15M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	144.8%	148.8%	152.8%	156.8%	160.8%
7.0%	$30034.51	$32567.59	$35268.81	$38146.41	$41208.90
8.0%	$22913.83	$24845.88	$26906.16	$29100.95	$31436.73
9.0%	$18095.51	$19620.88	$21247.47	$22980.25	$24824.32
10.0%	$14650.00	$15884.57	$17201.06	$18603.47	$20095.94
11.0%	$12085.93	$13104.11	$14189.84	$15346.41	$16577.24

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $1.07

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $11.17

Results

Graham Number$16.40

Current Price$73.50

Margin of Safety-77.7%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 6.61%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 6.61%

Cost of equity (Re)6.62%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.42 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)6.37%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.03%

Debt weight (D/V)0.97%

Results

Current Price$73.50

Implied Near-term FCF Growth13.0%

Historical Revenue Growth15.6%

Historical Earnings Growth152.8%

Base FCF (TTM)$43.79M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$73.50

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $36.94M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 54.1×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$61.15M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$73.30

Current Price$73.50

Upside / Downside-0.3%

Implied EV$2.00B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.06B	-$1.06B	-$61.15M	$938.85M	$1.94B
50.1x	$139.20	$103.62	$68.04	$32.47	$-3.11
52.1x	$141.83	$106.25	$70.67	$35.09	$-0.48
54.1x	$144.45	$108.88	$73.30	$37.72	$2.15
56.1x	$147.08	$111.50	$75.93	$40.35	$4.77
58.1x	$149.71	$114.13	$78.56	$42.98	$7.40

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