AHCO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($9.49)
DCF	$18.69	+97.0%
Graham Number	$11.91	+25.5%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -0.8%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$9.73	+2.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $246.52M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -1.2% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.18%

Computed WACC: 8.18%

Cost of equity (Re)13.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.72 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)5.57%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)40.31%

Debt weight (D/V)59.69%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$23.36

Current Price$9.49

Upside / Downside+146.2%

Net Debt (used)$1.80B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$18.97	$25.49	$33.07	$41.85	$51.95
8.0%	$13.23	$18.48	$24.57	$31.62	$39.72
9.0%	$9.26	$13.63	$18.69	$24.54	$31.26
10.0%	$6.34	$10.07	$14.38	$19.36	$25.07
11.0%	$4.11	$7.34	$11.09	$15.40	$20.34

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.55

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $11.46

Results

Graham Number$11.91

Current Price$9.49

Margin of Safety+25.5%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.18%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.18%

Cost of equity (Re)13.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.72 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)5.57%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)40.31%

Debt weight (D/V)59.69%

Results

Current Price$9.49

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-2.9%

Historical Revenue Growth-1.2%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$246.52M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$9.49

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $586.49M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 5.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.80B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.73

Current Price$9.49

Upside / Downside+2.5%

Implied EV$3.11B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.80B	$1.80B	$1.80B	$1.80B	$1.80B
1.3x	$-7.59	$-7.59	$-7.59	$-7.59	$-7.59
3.3x	$1.07	$1.07	$1.07	$1.07	$1.07
5.3x	$9.73	$9.73	$9.73	$9.73	$9.73
7.3x	$18.39	$18.39	$18.39	$18.39	$18.39
9.3x	$27.05	$27.05	$27.05	$27.05	$27.05

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