AHH

AHH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($6.25)
DCF$20.02+220.3%
Graham Number$5.31-15.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -2.2%
DDM$11.54+84.6%
EV/EBITDA$10.93+74.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $182.18M
Rev: -47.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 3.18%
Computed WACC: 3.18%
Cost of equity (Re)10.16%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.57%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)28.18%
Debt weight (D/V)71.82%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$365.99
Current Price$6.25
Upside / Downside+5755.9%
Net Debt (used)$1.59B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$20.36$28.50$37.97$48.93$61.55
8.0%$13.20$19.75$27.36$36.16$46.27
9.0%$8.24$13.69$20.02$27.32$35.71
10.0%$4.60$9.25$14.64$20.85$27.98
11.0%$1.81$5.85$10.52$15.91$22.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.22
Yahoo: $5.70

Results

Graham Number$5.31
Current Price$6.25
Margin of Safety-15.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.18%
Computed WACC: 3.18%
Cost of equity (Re)10.16%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.57%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)28.18%
Debt weight (D/V)71.82%

Results

Current Price$6.25
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-47.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$182.18M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$6.25
Upside / Downside+84.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $164.02M
Current: 15.1×
Default: $1.59B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.93
Current Price$6.25
Upside / Downside+74.9%
Implied EV$2.47B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B
11.1x$2.74$2.74$2.74$2.74$2.74
13.1x$6.84$6.84$6.84$6.84$6.84
15.1x$10.93$10.93$10.93$10.93$10.93
17.1x$15.02$15.02$15.02$15.02$15.02
19.1x$19.11$19.11$19.11$19.11$19.11