AIOT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($3.47)
DCF	$3.29	-5.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 7.2%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$3.47	+0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $36.30M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 6.6% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.28%

Computed WACC: 7.28%

Cost of equity (Re)11.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.36 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)61.62%

Debt weight (D/V)38.38%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$5.22

Current Price$3.47

Upside / Downside+50.5%

Net Debt (used)$258.75M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-1.4%	2.6%	6.6%	10.6%	14.6%
7.0%	$3.38	$4.44	$5.68	$7.10	$8.74
8.0%	$2.42	$3.28	$4.27	$5.41	$6.72
9.0%	$1.76	$2.47	$3.29	$4.24	$5.32
10.0%	$1.27	$1.88	$2.57	$3.38	$4.30
11.0%	$0.90	$1.42	$2.03	$2.72	$3.52

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.23

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $3.64

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$3.47

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.28%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.28%

Cost of equity (Re)11.81%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.36 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)61.62%

Debt weight (D/V)38.38%

Results

Current Price$3.47

Implied Near-term FCF Growth2.1%

Historical Revenue Growth6.6%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$36.30M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$3.47

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $81.32M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 8.9×

Net Debt($B)Default: $258.75M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$3.47

Current Price$3.47

Upside / Downside+0.1%

Implied EV$724.69M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.74B	-$741.25M	$258.75M	$1.26B	$2.26B
4.9x	$15.96	$8.50	$1.05	$-6.41	$-13.86
6.9x	$17.17	$9.72	$2.26	$-5.19	$-12.65
8.9x	$18.38	$10.93	$3.47	$-3.98	$-11.44
10.9x	$19.59	$12.14	$4.69	$-2.77	$-10.22
12.9x	$20.81	$13.35	$5.90	$-1.56	$-9.01

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