AIR

AIR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($119.77)
DCF$-1.80-101.5%
Graham Number$48.46-59.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 50.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$118.15-1.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $27.15M
Rev: 15.9% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.99%
Computed WACC: 8.99%
Cost of equity (Re)10.97%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.94%
Debt weight (D/V)18.06%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1.72
Current Price$119.77
Upside / Downside-101.4%
Net Debt (used)$968.70M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term7.9%11.9%15.9%19.9%23.9%
7.0%$-0.21$4.34$9.58$15.57$22.39
8.0%$-4.92$-1.29$2.86$7.61$13.02
9.0%$-8.16$-5.18$-1.76$2.14$6.58
10.0%$-10.52$-8.01$-5.13$-1.84$1.89
11.0%$-12.32$-10.16$-7.69$-4.87$-1.67

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.61
Yahoo: $39.99

Results

Graham Number$48.46
Current Price$119.77
Margin of Safety-59.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.99%
Computed WACC: 8.99%
Cost of equity (Re)10.97%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.94%
Debt weight (D/V)18.06%

Results

Current Price$119.77
Implied Near-term FCF Growth50.3%
Historical Revenue Growth15.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$27.15M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$119.77
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $331.00M
Current: 17.1×
Default: $968.70M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$118.15
Current Price$119.77
Upside / Downside-1.4%
Implied EV$5.64B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.03B-$31.30M$968.70M$1.97B$2.97B
13.1x$135.23$109.96$84.69$59.42$34.15
15.1x$151.96$126.69$101.42$76.15$50.88
17.1x$168.69$143.42$118.15$92.88$67.61
19.1x$185.42$160.15$134.88$109.61$84.34
21.1x$202.15$176.88$151.61$126.34$101.07