AIRTP

AIRTP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.31)
DCF$372.32+1828.1%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$41.20+113.4%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $74.46M
Rev: -8.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.21%
Computed WACC: 6.21%
Cost of equity (Re)6.33%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.37 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.51%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.73%
Debt weight (D/V)31.27%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$699.19
Current Price$19.31
Upside / Downside+3520.9%
Net Debt (used)$173.71M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$376.00$463.58$565.46$683.38$819.20
8.0%$298.95$369.43$451.31$545.95$654.83
9.0%$245.55$304.24$372.32$450.90$541.19
10.0%$206.35$256.42$314.41$381.26$457.98
11.0%$176.34$219.84$270.15$328.07$394.47

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.34
Yahoo: $-0.43

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$19.31
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.21%
Computed WACC: 6.21%
Cost of equity (Re)6.33%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.37 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.51%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.73%
Debt weight (D/V)31.27%

Results

Current Price$19.31
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-8.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$74.46M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$41.20
Current Price$19.31
Upside / Downside+113.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$2.91M
Current: -80.2×
Default: $173.71M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.46
Current Price$19.31
Upside / Downside+0.8%
Implied EV$232.97M