AKO-A

AKO-A — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($24.74)
DCF$-3056.60-12454.8%
Graham Number$223.46+803.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$25.34+2.4%
EV/EBITDA$85656.41+346123.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$13.73B
Rev: -6.1% / EPS: 0.6%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-3056.60
Current Price$24.74
Upside / Downside-12454.8%
Net Debt (used)$0
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-3082.86$-3706.28$-4431.56$-5270.99$-6237.82
8.0%$-2534.30$-3036.08$-3618.96$-4292.67$-5067.72
9.0%$-2154.17$-2571.99$-3056.60$-3615.99$-4258.76
10.0%$-1875.12$-2231.56$-2644.38$-3120.27$-3666.45
11.0%$-1661.47$-1971.16$-2329.29$-2741.61$-3214.28

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.85
Yahoo: $1199.61

Results

Graham Number$223.46
Current Price$24.74
Margin of Safety+803.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$24.74
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-6.1%
Historical Earnings Growth0.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$13.73B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.23

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$25.34
Current Price$24.74
Upside / Downside+2.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $563.06B
Current: —×
Default: $0

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$85656.41
Current Price$24.74
Upside / Downside+346123.6%
Implied EV$6.76T
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.00B-$1.00B$0$1.00B$2.00B
8.0x$57129.63$57116.95$57104.28$57091.60$57078.92
10.0x$71405.70$71393.02$71380.35$71367.67$71354.99
12.0x$85681.77$85669.09$85656.41$85643.74$85631.06
14.0x$99957.84$99945.16$99932.48$99919.81$99907.13
16.0x$114233.91$114221.23$114208.55$114195.88$114183.20