AKR

AKR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.99)
DCF$27.86+32.7%
Graham Number$6.18-70.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.9%
DDM$16.48-21.5%
EV/EBITDA$24.07+14.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $176.04M
Rev: 15.0% / EPS: -44.1%
Computed: 8.08%
Computed WACC: 8.08%
Cost of equity (Re)10.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.12 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.61%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)60.72%
Debt weight (D/V)39.28%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$35.59
Current Price$20.99
Upside / Downside+69.5%
Net Debt (used)$1.88B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term7.0%11.0%15.0%19.0%23.0%
7.0%$30.54$39.01$48.75$59.91$72.63
8.0%$21.89$28.63$36.38$45.24$55.34
9.0%$15.94$21.49$27.86$35.15$43.44
10.0%$11.59$16.28$21.65$27.79$34.77
11.0%$8.28$12.31$16.93$22.20$28.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.10
Yahoo: $16.98

Results

Graham Number$6.18
Current Price$20.99
Margin of Safety-70.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.08%
Computed WACC: 8.08%
Cost of equity (Re)10.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.12 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.61%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)60.72%
Debt weight (D/V)39.28%

Results

Current Price$20.99
Implied Near-term FCF Growth9.2%
Historical Revenue Growth15.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-44.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$176.04M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$16.48
Current Price$20.99
Upside / Downside-21.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $234.26M
Current: 21.5×
Default: $1.88B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$24.07
Current Price$20.99
Upside / Downside+14.7%
Implied EV$5.03B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.88B$1.88B$1.88B$1.88B$1.88B
17.5x$16.92$16.92$16.92$16.92$16.92
19.5x$20.50$20.50$20.50$20.50$20.50
21.5x$24.07$24.07$24.07$24.07$24.07
23.5x$27.65$27.65$27.65$27.65$27.65
25.5x$31.22$31.22$31.22$31.22$31.22