AL

AL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($64.84)
DCF$1101.77+1599.2%
Graham Number$125.73+93.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 45.3%
DDM$18.13-72.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $162.55M
Rev: 15.1% / EPS: 80.9%
Computed: 2.82%
Computed WACC: 2.82%
Cost of equity (Re)10.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)26.91%
Debt weight (D/V)73.09%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$37548.90
Current Price$64.84
Upside / Downside+57810.1%
Net Debt (used)$19.26B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term72.9%76.9%80.9%84.9%88.9%
7.0%$1482.01$1681.32$1899.43$2137.65$2397.33
8.0%$1104.15$1257.70$1425.73$1609.24$1809.27
9.0%$847.38$969.85$1103.85$1250.19$1409.69
10.0%$662.91$763.05$872.62$992.26$1122.66
11.0%$524.93$608.38$699.68$799.36$907.99

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $9.29
Yahoo: $75.63

Results

Graham Number$125.73
Current Price$64.84
Margin of Safety+93.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.82%
Computed WACC: 2.82%
Cost of equity (Re)10.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)26.91%
Debt weight (D/V)73.09%

Results

Current Price$64.84
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-5.7%
Historical Revenue Growth15.1%
Historical Earnings Growth80.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$162.55M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.88

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.13
Current Price$64.84
Upside / Downside-72.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $19.26B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-171.94
Current Price$64.84
Upside / Downside-365.2%
Implied EV$0