ALAR

ALAR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($6.71)
DCF$1.56-76.8%
Graham Number$1.40-79.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$65.95+882.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 80.9% / EPS: -99.0%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1.56
Current Price$6.71
Upside / Downside-76.8%
Net Debt (used)-$11.29M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term72.9%76.9%80.9%84.9%88.9%
7.0%$1.56$1.56$1.56$1.56$1.56
8.0%$1.56$1.56$1.56$1.56$1.56
9.0%$1.56$1.56$1.56$1.56$1.56
10.0%$1.56$1.56$1.56$1.56$1.56
11.0%$1.56$1.56$1.56$1.56$1.56

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.20
Yahoo: $0.44

Results

Graham Number$1.40
Current Price$6.71
Margin of Safety-79.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$6.71
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth80.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-99.0%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$6.71
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $484,500
Current: 962.8×
Default: -$11.29M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$65.95
Current Price$6.71
Upside / Downside+882.9%
Implied EV$466.46M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.01B-$1.01B-$11.29M$988.71M$1.99B
958.8x$341.78$203.73$65.69$-72.36$-210.41
960.8x$341.92$203.87$65.82$-72.23$-210.28
962.8x$342.05$204.00$65.95$-72.10$-210.14
964.8x$342.18$204.14$66.09$-71.96$-210.01
966.8x$342.32$204.27$66.22$-71.83$-209.88