ALCY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($11.71)
DCF	$-1.13	-109.7%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$191,712

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 3.93%

Computed WACC: 3.93%

Cost of equity (Re)4.07%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.04 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)96.65%

Debt weight (D/V)3.35%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-4.00

Current Price$11.71

Upside / Downside-134.2%

Net Debt (used)$1.39M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-1.14	$-1.30	$-1.49	$-1.71	$-1.96
8.0%	$-0.99	$-1.12	$-1.28	$-1.45	$-1.66
9.0%	$-0.89	$-1.00	$-1.13	$-1.28	$-1.44
10.0%	$-0.82	$-0.91	$-1.02	$-1.15	$-1.29
11.0%	$-0.77	$-0.85	$-0.94	$-1.05	$-1.17

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.15

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $-1.93

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$11.71

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 3.93%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 3.93%

Cost of equity (Re)4.07%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.04 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)96.65%

Debt weight (D/V)3.35%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$11.71

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$191,712

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$11.71

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.39M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-0.33

Current Price$11.71

Upside / Downside-102.8%

Implied EV$0

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