ALDX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($5.58)
DCF	$-5.36	-196.1%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$21.46M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.29%

Computed WACC: 9.29%

Cost of equity (Re)9.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.99 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.57%

Debt weight (D/V)4.43%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5.09

Current Price$5.58

Upside / Downside-191.2%

Net Debt (used)-$54.51M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-5.41	$-6.69	$-8.17	$-9.89	$-11.88
8.0%	$-4.29	$-5.31	$-6.51	$-7.89	$-9.48
9.0%	$-3.51	$-4.36	$-5.36	$-6.50	$-7.82
10.0%	$-2.94	$-3.67	$-4.51	$-5.49	$-6.61
11.0%	$-2.50	$-3.13	$-3.87	$-4.71	$-5.68

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.73

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.74

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$5.58

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.29%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.29%

Cost of equity (Re)9.72%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.99 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.57%

Debt weight (D/V)4.43%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$5.58

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$21.46M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$5.58

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$35.01M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -7.8×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$54.51M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.46

Current Price$5.58

Upside / Downside-2.0%

Implied EV$274.08M

← Overview Financial Statements ← Companies