ALGT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($97.71)
DCF	$-43.51	-144.5%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 48.4%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$97.56	-0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $14.95M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 4.5% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 10.02%

Computed WACC: 10.02%

Cost of equity (Re)12.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.57 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)9.12%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)48.97%

Debt weight (D/V)51.03%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-45.47

Current Price$97.71

Upside / Downside-146.5%

Net Debt (used)$1.06B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-43.38	$-40.46	$-37.06	$-33.12	$-28.59
8.0%	$-45.96	$-43.60	$-40.87	$-37.71	$-34.07
9.0%	$-47.74	$-45.78	$-43.51	$-40.88	$-37.87
10.0%	$-49.05	$-47.38	$-45.44	$-43.21	$-40.65
11.0%	$-50.05	$-48.60	$-46.92	$-44.98	$-42.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-2.48

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $57.82

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$97.71

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 10.02%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 10.02%

Cost of equity (Re)12.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.57 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)9.12%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)48.97%

Debt weight (D/V)51.03%

Results

Current Price$97.71

Implied Near-term FCF Growth52.2%

Historical Revenue Growth4.5%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$14.95M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$97.71

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $302.79M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 9.4×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.06B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$97.56

Current Price$97.71

Upside / Downside-0.2%

Implied EV$2.85B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.06B	$1.06B	$1.06B	$1.06B	$1.06B
5.4x	$31.41	$31.41	$31.41	$31.41	$31.41
7.4x	$64.49	$64.49	$64.49	$64.49	$64.49
9.4x	$97.56	$97.56	$97.56	$97.56	$97.56
11.4x	$130.64	$130.64	$130.64	$130.64	$130.64
13.4x	$163.71	$163.71	$163.71	$163.71	$163.71

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