ALH

ALH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($22.46)
DCF$-11.89-152.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$21.86-2.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 13.9% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-11.89
Current Price$22.46
Upside / Downside-152.9%
Net Debt (used)$2.41B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term5.9%9.9%13.9%17.9%21.9%
7.0%$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89
8.0%$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89
9.0%$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89
10.0%$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89
11.0%$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89$-11.89

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.60
Yahoo: $-0.79

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$22.46
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$22.46
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth13.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$22.46
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $413.16M
Current: 16.6×
Default: $2.41B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$21.86
Current Price$22.46
Upside / Downside-2.7%
Implied EV$6.84B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$410.67M$1.41B$2.41B$3.41B$4.41B
12.6x$23.57$18.64$13.71$8.78$3.85
14.6x$27.65$22.72$17.79$12.86$7.92
16.6x$31.72$26.79$21.86$16.93$12.00
18.6x$35.79$30.86$25.93$21.00$16.07
20.6x$39.87$34.94$30.01$25.08$20.15