ALMU — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($19.24)
DCF	$2.55	-86.8%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 73.6%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $487,764

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -21.1% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: -5.71%

Computed WACC: -5.71%

Cost of equity (Re)-5.73%(Rf 4.30% + β -1.82 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.67%

Debt weight (D/V)0.33%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$19.24

Upside / Downside—

Net Debt (used)-$37.44M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$2.55	$2.65	$2.76	$2.89	$3.04
8.0%	$2.47	$2.55	$2.64	$2.74	$2.86
9.0%	$2.41	$2.47	$2.55	$2.64	$2.74
10.0%	$2.37	$2.42	$2.48	$2.56	$2.64
11.0%	$2.33	$2.38	$2.44	$2.50	$2.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.13

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $2.27

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$19.24

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: -5.71%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: -5.71%

Cost of equity (Re)-5.73%(Rf 4.30% + β -1.82 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.67%

Debt weight (D/V)0.33%

Results

Current Price$19.24

Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%

Historical Revenue Growth-21.1%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$487,764

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$19.24

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$5.07M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -61.2×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$37.44M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.24

Current Price$19.24

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$309.83M

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