ALOT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($8.96)
DCF	$1012.44	+11199.6%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -13.4%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$8.96	+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $18.11M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -3.1% / EPS: 65.1%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.28%

Computed WACC: 8.28%

Cost of equity (Re)8.02%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.68 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)11.00%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)61.45%

Debt weight (D/V)38.55%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1185.59

Current Price$8.96

Upside / Downside+13132.0%

Net Debt (used)$39.33M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	57.1%	61.1%	65.1%	69.1%	73.1%
7.0%	$1275.84	$1445.91	$1633.65	$1840.39	$2067.55
8.0%	$988.24	$1119.83	$1265.05	$1424.97	$1600.65
9.0%	$792.47	$897.86	$1014.16	$1142.21	$1282.87
10.0%	$651.55	$738.10	$833.59	$938.71	$1054.17
11.0%	$545.93	$618.35	$698.26	$786.20	$882.79

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-2.24

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $10.06

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$8.96

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.28%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.28%

Cost of equity (Re)8.02%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.68 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)11.00%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)61.45%

Debt weight (D/V)38.55%

Results

Current Price$8.96

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-14.9%

Historical Revenue Growth-3.1%

Historical Earnings Growth65.1%

Base FCF (TTM)$18.11M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$8.96

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $11.24M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 9.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: $39.33M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$8.96

Current Price$8.96

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$107.77M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.96B	-$960.67M	$39.33M	$1.04B	$2.04B
5.6x	$264.91	$133.99	$3.08	$-127.84	$-258.76
7.6x	$267.85	$136.94	$6.02	$-124.90	$-255.82
9.6x	$270.79	$139.88	$8.96	$-121.96	$-252.87
11.6x	$273.74	$142.82	$11.90	$-119.01	$-249.93
13.6x	$276.68	$145.76	$14.85	$-116.07	$-246.99

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