ALTO

ALTO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($2.52)
DCF$-0.54-121.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 37.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$2.52+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.58M
Rev: -4.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.69%
Computed WACC: 4.69%
Cost of equity (Re)7.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)61.97%
Debt weight (D/V)38.03%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$0.63
Current Price$2.52
Upside / Downside-75.1%
Net Debt (used)$87.18M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-0.54$-0.42$-0.28$-0.12$0.07
8.0%$-0.64$-0.54$-0.43$-0.30$-0.15
9.0%$-0.71$-0.63$-0.54$-0.43$-0.31
10.0%$-0.77$-0.70$-0.62$-0.53$-0.42
11.0%$-0.81$-0.75$-0.68$-0.60$-0.51

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.70
Yahoo: $2.88

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$2.52
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.69%
Computed WACC: 4.69%
Cost of equity (Re)7.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)61.97%
Debt weight (D/V)38.03%

Results

Current Price$2.52
Implied Near-term FCF Growth16.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-4.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$2.58M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$2.52
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $16.10M
Current: 17.5×
Default: $87.18M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.52
Current Price$2.52
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$282.09M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.91B-$912.82M$87.18M$1.09B$2.09B
13.5x$27.55$14.62$1.69$-11.24$-24.17
15.5x$27.96$15.03$2.10$-10.83$-23.76
17.5x$28.38$15.45$2.52$-10.41$-23.34
19.5x$28.80$15.87$2.94$-9.99$-22.92
21.5x$29.21$16.28$3.35$-9.58$-22.51