ALUR

ALUR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($0.70)
DCF$-33.14-4826.3%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$18.78M
Rev: -50.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 0.16%
Computed WACC: 0.16%
Cost of equity (Re)1.72%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.47 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)9.38%
Debt weight (D/V)90.62%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$0.70
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$77.16M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-33.37$-38.84$-45.22$-52.59$-61.08
8.0%$-28.55$-32.96$-38.08$-44.00$-50.80
9.0%$-25.21$-28.88$-33.14$-38.05$-43.70
10.0%$-22.76$-25.89$-29.51$-33.70$-38.49
11.0%$-20.88$-23.60$-26.75$-30.37$-34.52

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-16.20
Yahoo: $-10.68

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$0.70
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 0.16%
Computed WACC: 0.16%
Cost of equity (Re)1.72%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.47 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)9.38%
Debt weight (D/V)90.62%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$0.70
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-50.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$18.78M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$0.70
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$38.54M
Current: -2.3×
Default: $77.16M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.88
Current Price$0.70
Upside / Downside+25.8%
Implied EV$87.99M