ALVO

ALVO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.96)
DCF$-10.61-367.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$3.81-3.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$84.85M
Rev: 10.6% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-10.61
Current Price$3.96
Upside / Downside-367.9%
Net Debt (used)$1.24B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.6%6.6%10.6%14.6%18.6%
7.0%$-10.87$-12.22$-13.77$-15.56$-17.60
8.0%$-9.58$-10.66$-11.90$-13.32$-14.95
9.0%$-8.69$-9.58$-10.61$-11.78$-13.13
10.0%$-8.04$-8.80$-9.66$-10.66$-11.80
11.0%$-7.55$-8.20$-8.95$-9.80$-10.78

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.23
Yahoo: $-0.59

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$3.96
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$3.96
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth10.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$84.85M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$3.96
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $63.25M
Current: 38.4×
Default: $1.24B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$3.81
Current Price$3.96
Upside / Downside-3.7%
Implied EV$2.43B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.24B$1.24B$1.24B$1.24B$1.24B
34.4x$3.00$3.00$3.00$3.00$3.00
36.4x$3.41$3.41$3.41$3.41$3.41
38.4x$3.81$3.81$3.81$3.81$3.81
40.4x$4.22$4.22$4.22$4.22$4.22
42.4x$4.62$4.62$4.62$4.62$4.62