ALVOW

ALVOW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($0.38)
DCF$-3305430477.90-869850125864.2%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$-480337024.00-126404480100.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$84.85M
Rev: 10.6% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-3305430477.90
Current Price$0.38
Upside / Downside-869850125864.2%
Net Debt (used)$1.24B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.6%6.6%10.6%14.6%18.6%
7.0%$-3387984694.87$-3806644797.65$-4290535715.42$-4847134956.99$-5484474699.01
8.0%$-2986561152.99$-3321247832.76$-3707628266.90$-4151603090.86$-4659509554.13
9.0%$-2709316957.94$-2986179587.45$-3305430477.90$-3671887437.66$-4090723878.01
10.0%$-2506532387.44$-2741243479.11$-3011572773.44$-3321551212.47$-3675506517.57
11.0%$-2351889171.90$-2554575846.03$-2787748378.46$-3054841967.11$-3359544091.20

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: —
Yahoo: $-0.59

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$0.38
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$0.38
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth10.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$84.85M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$0.38
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $63.25M
Current: —×
Default: $1.24B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-480337024.00
Current Price$0.38
Upside / Downside-126404480100.0%
Implied EV$758.98M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.24B$1.24B$1.24B$1.24B$1.24B
8.0x$-733329024.00$-733329024.00$-733329024.00$-733329024.00$-733329024.00
10.0x$-606833024.00$-606833024.00$-606833024.00$-606833024.00$-606833024.00
12.0x$-480337024.00$-480337024.00$-480337024.00$-480337024.00$-480337024.00
14.0x$-353841024.00$-353841024.00$-353841024.00$-353841024.00$-353841024.00
16.0x$-227345024.00$-227345024.00$-227345024.00$-227345024.00$-227345024.00