ALXO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($2.13)
DCF	$-7.67	-460.7%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$59.85M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.45%

Computed WACC: 7.45%

Cost of equity (Re)7.15%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.52 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)16.31%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)94.70%

Debt weight (D/V)5.30%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-10.20

Current Price$2.13

Upside / Downside-580.2%

Net Debt (used)-$45.02M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-7.73	$-9.37	$-11.27	$-13.47	$-16.00
8.0%	$-6.30	$-7.61	$-9.14	$-10.90	$-12.93
9.0%	$-5.30	$-6.40	$-7.67	$-9.13	$-10.82
10.0%	$-4.57	$-5.50	$-6.59	$-7.83	$-9.26
11.0%	$-4.01	$-4.82	$-5.76	$-6.84	$-8.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-2.01

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.84

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$2.13

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.45%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.45%

Cost of equity (Re)7.15%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.52 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)16.31%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)94.70%

Debt weight (D/V)5.30%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$2.13

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$59.85M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$2.13

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$107.67M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -0.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$45.02M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.87

Current Price$2.13

Upside / Downside-59.0%

Implied EV$69.34M

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