ALZN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($2.01)
DCF	$-15.94	-892.9%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$3.70M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 2.95%

Computed WACC: 2.95%

Cost of equity (Re)2.95%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.24 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)100.00%

Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-248.95

Current Price$2.01

Upside / Downside-12485.4%

Net Debt (used)-$4.45M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-16.08	$-19.57	$-23.63	$-28.33	$-33.74
8.0%	$-13.01	$-15.82	$-19.08	$-22.85	$-27.19
9.0%	$-10.89	$-13.22	$-15.94	$-19.07	$-22.66
10.0%	$-9.32	$-11.32	$-13.63	$-16.29	$-19.35
11.0%	$-8.13	$-9.86	$-11.87	$-14.17	$-16.82

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-2.67

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.15

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$2.01

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 2.95%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 2.95%

Cost of equity (Re)2.95%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.24 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)100.00%

Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$2.01

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$3.70M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$2.01

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$5.79M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -0.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$4.45M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.01

Current Price$2.01

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$3.19M

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