AM

AM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($22.77)
DCF$7.01-69.2%
Graham Number$8.97-60.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 18.4%
DDM$18.54-18.6%
EV/EBITDA$22.77+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $362.12M
Rev: 3.1% / EPS: -52.6%
Computed: 6.48%
Computed WACC: 6.48%
Cost of equity (Re)8.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.09%
Debt weight (D/V)22.91%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$15.62
Current Price$22.77
Upside / Downside-31.4%
Net Debt (used)$3.04B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$7.12$9.86$13.05$16.74$20.99
8.0%$4.71$6.92$9.48$12.44$15.85
9.0%$3.04$4.88$7.01$9.47$12.29
10.0%$1.81$3.38$5.20$7.29$9.69
11.0%$0.87$2.24$3.81$5.62$7.70

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.86
Yahoo: $4.16

Results

Graham Number$8.97
Current Price$22.77
Margin of Safety-60.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.48%
Computed WACC: 6.48%
Cost of equity (Re)8.41%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.75 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.09%
Debt weight (D/V)22.91%

Results

Current Price$22.77
Implied Near-term FCF Growth9.5%
Historical Revenue Growth3.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-52.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$362.12M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.90

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.54
Current Price$22.77
Upside / Downside-18.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $937.26M
Current: 14.7×
Default: $3.04B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$22.77
Current Price$22.77
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$13.81B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.04B$2.04B$3.04B$4.04B$5.04B
10.7x$19.07$16.96$14.85$12.73$10.62
12.7x$23.04$20.92$18.81$16.69$14.58
14.7x$27.00$24.88$22.77$20.66$18.54
16.7x$30.96$28.85$26.73$24.62$22.51
18.7x$34.92$32.81$30.70$28.58$26.47